There’s no war-ravaged Europe for the US to exploit this time around

Buster Keaton — One of the great comedians, stuntmen, and film directors of the 1920s silent-film era. His career ended in tears just like the Roaring 20s did for so many investors, as the silent film era transitioned to ‘talkies’ in the late 1920s.

We’ve been told the 2020 pandemic has caused incredible, pent-up consumer demand. Naturally, if this is true we should assume this consumer demand will result in an economic explosion as people go back to their natural spending habits – post-vaccination. Many experts support this idea by pointing to how the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic created incredible consumer demand and how the economy exploded for a decade after that previous pandemic ended.

However, thoughtful investors can’t be faulted for asking themselves, ‘How is it that the world economy is stronger in 2021 than it was before the pandemic?’.

5 Investing Tips From The Greatest Crook Of Our Generation

I’m sorry honey … I don’t know why I said, ‘it would be stupid to take even a little profit off the table’. Photo by Tessa Rampersad on Unsplash

Most economists now believe the economy will explode in the second half of 2021 as more and more people receive the vaccination. However, economists and analysts are split on what this means for the stock market.

The Federal Reserve says the US economy is expected to grow faster than originally forecast, and inflation ‘will be transitory’ and Goldman Sachs says ‘we’re not in a bubble and investors should just relax’. However, plenty of economists are pointing out serious warning signs like over-inflated stock prices and pockets of potentially stock market-damaging inflation. Larry Summers, the former Under Secretary of the…

3 leading indicators signal more pain to come

Photo by Uriel Soberanes on Unsplash

Both large and small-cap technology stock prices exploded in 2020. By offering the exact solutions office workers needed to work from home, technology companies were able to achieve unprecedented profits.

Yet, with the pandemic coming to an end, both economists and analysts are trying to figure out if the recent pullback in technology stock prices is simply a breather before stocks go higher or a sign of more downward pressure.

However, there’s a third possibility keeping technology stock investors up at night. Standing in broad daylight are three leading indicators suggesting, even after the recent correction, there is still…

4 stories cheerleaders repeat in every stock market bubble

Stock markets have retreated with shocking speed over the past few weeks and you’re probably wondering if you should buy the dip, take profit, or just wait and see what happens. With all the CNBC and social media noise, it’s incredibly hard to know the right thing to do.

The market pros look completely discombobulated. For one example — even though Tesla has fallen around 30% to just under $600 in little more than a month, the world-leading EV company was recently given a neutral rating and a $150 target by Roth Capital. What does this new rating mean…

Staying home for our safety has caused a dangerous liquidity trap to form

Gotta finish this report before I turn on the TV — Photo by Mahmud Ahsan on Unsplash

Almost everyone I talk to loves working from home. What’s not to love? No commute, no dry cleaning bills, rescheduling meetings is way easier, and there’s no need to pretend to be busy when your boss is around. No doubt, personal productivity, and convenience have increased.

The problem is, working from home is causing us to spend less money. When you combine a high savings rate with extremely low-interest rates and an economic recession, a liquidity trap can form. Compounding the problem, many companies are thinking of continuing the work-from-home trend. There’s talk of a four-day workweek. Facebook looks…

2 times central banks got interest rate hike timing wrong

If you’re worried about when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, join the crowd. With a limited number of ambiguous historical examples to guide them, rapidly shifting financial data, and new levels of financial complexity, the Federal Reserve must somehow thread a very fine needle.

On one hand, Jerome Powell insists he’s not even thinking about raising interest rates and rates will stay low for however long it takes’.

3 events that have preceded the end of every stock market bubble

Is that really my account balance? … Say it ain’t so! — Photo by Tessa Rampersad on Unsplash

Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful. — Warren Buffett

Trade wars, insurrection, and new virus mutations spreading quickly around the globe have done little to slow investor enthusiasm. Retail investors continue to flock into stocks with remarkable gusto. If you’re concerned stock prices might be overvalued, you’re not crazy. Experienced economists warn we are almost certainly in the middle of a massive Federal Reserve liquidity bubble.

The problem is if you agree we are in a bubble, then how can the average investor determine when that bubble is coming to an end? The…

Cross-Cultural Business Communication Tips

Photo by You X Ventures on Unsplash

I’ve worked professionally as a cross-cultural communication coach for over a decade. The single most often asked question I get from clients is, ‘How can I get my staff to communicate better in English?’

This is the wrong question to be asking. A much better question is, ‘How can I understand my own culture more deeply, to better appreciate how other cultures might interpret my communication and working style?’

In this article:

  1. Diversity programs aren’t simply an exercise in being ‘politically correct’.
  2. Understanding our own cultural norms is key to understanding someone else’s culture.
  3. Dead-simple communication tips for getting the…

The Gamestop saga — how retail bulls overwhelmed Wall Street short-sellers

Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash

From a retail investor’s point of view, the pros have always had a massive advantage over the retail investor — more information, faster trading, direct access to CEOs, and the financial weight and influence to move markets. Last week something changed — retail investors following Wallstreetbets beat Wall Street professionals at their own game.

Some people claim Wallstreetbets is nothing more than run-of-the-mill collusion. Some go as far as to say the collusion amounts to market manipulation. Others insist this online forum is simply the democratization of investing. …

6 hurdles ALL innovation technology investors need to scrutinize in 2021

Photo by Craig Marshall on Unsplash

On the back of the news about three promising vaccines, the stock market is on fire again. You might be thinking — ‘I can’t miss!’.

Technology names are up, stocks benefiting from lockdowns are up, stocks hurt by lockdowns are up. The DOW and NASDAQ are both at or near new highs. Now with the end of the pandemic possibly months away and a new US President coming into office, most analysts agree the broadening market breadth suggests a strong bull market. It’s almost too good to be true.

I agree, at first blush, everything looks fantastic, but not…

Edward Iftody

Edward Iftody is a Communication Coach, author of Surviving Work, a veteran of the Canadian fin-tech industry and a blockchain enthusiast.

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